The Casual Blog

Tag: politics

Some backyard birds, and a few words on our energy policy

Blue jay

Last week I drove down to Clemson, SC, for a nature photography weekend sponsored by the Carolina Nature Photography Association. My main interest was to take some pictures at The Nut House, a marvelous birding oasis created by Carl Ackerman.  It has three blinds where photographers can sit concealed and watch birds come to various tasty attractions.  

The weather was chilly, and the birds were neither uncommon nor numerous.  Still, it was fun to watch those that appeared, as well as the scurrying squirrels and chipmunks.    I also enjoyed meeting some nice CNPA members.

Eastern chipmunk

As usual, it was a bizarre week in Trumpworld, with too many terrible things happening to think carefully about them all.  It was particularly terrible that Trump called for death by hanging of members of Congress who’d pointed out that armed services members should obey the law and the Constitution.  

Who knows how many Trump believers might take this seriously as a call to action?  We learned from the January 6 insurrection that such people exist.  But thankfully there are still responsible Republicans who support free speech and oppose political violence.  May their numbers and their voices increase.

Red-bellied woodpecker

In other news, Trump staged an elaborate fawning tribute to a murderous Saudi Arabian tyrant, Mohammed Bin Salman.  This was, on its face, shameful and disgusting.  Why, I wondered, did he do it? 

In an interesting piece in the NY Times, Noah Shactman proposed some interesting possible explanations.  Shactman says that Trump has long viewed with envy the Persian Gulf petrostates, with their great luck in having lots of oil and their autocracy.  Now, he’s collecting billions in crypto and other business deals from the Middle Eastern autocrats, which is another reason for trying to please them.  

Eastern gray squirrel

On top of all that, or underneath it, is Trump’s view of fossil fuel as a source of power and means of domination.  As a historical matter, this is not crazy; oil and coal powered the major industries of the 20th century.  

But it’s crazy now.  Renewable energy (solar and wind power) have dropped so much in cost that in many places they are now as cheap or cheaper than fossil fuels.  And the CO2 from burning fossil fuels is on course to destroy the world economy and upend human civilization.  

Northern cardinal

As most people now know, climate change is not hypothetical – it’s here.  Average temperatures are hitting new highs, with disasters occurring as predicted – huge storms, floods, fires, droughts, eroding coastlines, along with failing farm systems, economies, and governments.  

Eastern phoebe

But Trump still claims that climate change is a hoax, and that efforts to address it are scams.  He proposes instead to increase the very programs that are root causes of climate change – more burning of coal, oil, and gas – while trying to undermine renewable energy alternatives that would mitigate the catastrophe.  

Yellow-rumped warbler

Through tax breaks and subsidies, Trump has conferred huge windfalls on the oil and gas industries, while the costs of electricity have gone up substantially.  And absent a change in course, there’s worse to come.  A recent study ound that Trump’s energy program, if pursued until 2055, could result in 340,000 premature deaths and $6.7 trillion in additional healthcare and energy costs.  

Chickadee

Somehow Trump’s horrific climate policy is still not high on the public’s discussion agenda.  But that too may be about to change, as climate change hits the housing market.  In a recent piece in the December issue of the Atlantic, Vann R. Newkirk II reports that insurers are pricing in rising climate risks, and so homeowner’s insurance in some areas is becoming prohibitively expensive. 

If insurance becomes too expensive or unavailable, homes become unmarketable.  See also this NY Times report on this same issue. Where homes become unmarketable, a cascade of problems follow – retirements undone, generational wealth eroded, community businesses closed, public services ended, and ghost towns.  

With all the risks we now face, Newkirk reminds us that all is not lost: we may yet wake up and take action. In ringing tones, he finds hope.

[P]erhaps Trump, through his very extremity, has provided a galvanizing opportunity. In his reflexive culture-warrior rejection of climate change, he has backed into a climate policy of his own, and has linked that policy to his power. With his single-minded, bullying determination to reverse course on renewables—which are part of life now for many people of all political stripes—and to dismantle programs people rely on, Trump has essentially taken ownership of any future climate disruptions, and has more firmly connected them to oil and gas. In advancing this climate-accelerationist policy alongside an antidemocratic agenda, he has sealed off fantasies of compromise and raised the political salience of dead zones, where devastation and exclusion go hand in hand. Trump’s intertwining of climate policy and authoritarianism may beget its own countermovement: climate democracy.

Climate democracy would be aided by the gift of simplicity. At present, the only way to ensure that America avoids the future outlined here will be to win back power from its strongman leader, or possibly his successors. The places facing existential climate risks—especially those in the Deep South—are mostly in states that have long been considered politically uncompetitive, where neither party expends much effort or money to gain votes. But they could form a natural climate constituency, outside the normal partisan axis. Poor and middle-class white communities in coastal Alabama, Mexican American neighborhoods in Phoenix, and Black towns in the Mississippi Delta might soon come to regard climate catastrophe as the greatest risk they face, not by way of scientific persuasion, but by way of hard-earned experience. Some of them might form the cornerstone of a new movement.

With the right message, plenty of other people may be persuadable: those upset by higher electric bills, or poorer storm forecasts, or the coziness of Trump with the oil and gas industry, or weather-related disruptions in everyday life. To paraphrase Theodore Roosevelt, Americans learn best from catastrophe, and they will learn that the help they once took for granted after disasters might now be harder to come by. Autocracy takes time to solidify, and building popular support in opposition to it takes time as well. But in the reaction needed to build climate democracy, perhaps heat is a catalyst.

Downy woodpecker

Some butterflies, and an idea for improving our democracy

The first thing I’ll note is, no matter how many problems we have in America, there are still a lot of beautiful things, including flowers and insects.  I enjoyed taking these pictures last week in Ernie B’s garden, and hope you enjoy them, too.

Otherwise, it was a difficult week.  There’s a lot going on with Trump, so it’s challenging to get a grip on, and that may be part of the design: the sheer mass is exhausting and numbing.  

According to a recent Pew poll, it seems that a majority of Republicans don’t see any big problems with Trump’s major initiatives.  It’s possible nowadays to live in an impermeable information bubble, with unwelcome information blocked out, and I assume that accounts for some of the differences in our worldviews.  Anyhow, especially for my Republican friends and loved ones, here’s some of what I’m seeing.

At the start of the Trump presidency, the new initiatives made some sense, even if they were deplorable.  It seemed mainly about fearmongering and cruelty toward immigrants and minorities, while favoring the rich by dismantling business regulation and other laws.  Then new, weirder initiatives came into view, including cutting agencies performing basic governmental functions.  With no clear explanation, Trumpists began undermining federal law enforcement, military readiness, public health, education, disaster relief, environmental protection, legal procedures and courts, foreign aid, foreign intelligence, diplomacy, and revenue production.   

Meanwhile, we started to see corruption on a scale never seen before, with billions of dollars flowing from those who needed favors to the coffers of Trump Inc.  Wealthy donors, like oil and gas companies and crypto magnates, started getting the goodies they’d requested.  We also began seeing a barrage of policies that seemed plain crazy, like attacks on wind and solar power, threats to take over other countries, self-destructive trade wars with former allies, abandoning health research, and cutting holes in the social safety net that protects, among others, the MAGA faithful.  

This all seems terrible for those tens of thousands who have lost their freedom, hundreds of thousands who lost their jobs, those millions who lost nutrition and health care, and hundreds of millions indirectly affected, as well as sad for us all.  But that’s not all.   

Some things that we thought couldn’t happen here have already happened.  Kidnappings in broad daylight by masked government men in unmarked vans, military troops turning out in force to intimidate protestors in key blue cities, raids of the houses and workplaces of regime opponents, establishment of new torture detention centers, blatant defiance of court orders, and open promises of rigged elections.   And now President Trump is darkly teasing, “Maybe we would like a dictator.”  

I’m pretty sure that that’s not true for the majority of us.  We can see that, contrary to Trump’s crazytalk, we are in most respects not in any crisis or emergency, other than ones he’s creating.  We can see that immigrants are not subhuman animals, and opponents of Trumpism are not evil traitors.  The values that animate the MAGA-verse, like greed, willful ignorance, hatred, and cruelty, are not the values most of us want to see defining our culture, or want to cultivate in our lives.

What are the values we prefer?  Kindness and compassion, for starters.  Generosity and honesty, too.  Tolerance.  Curiosity.  Rationality.  All these are foundational to American culture.  We all, or almost all, learned them as children, and teach them to our children.  

But MAGA has put the alternative values into sharp relief, and we need to make some choices:  kindness or cruelty, generosity or greed, tolerance or hatred, rationality or ignorance.  We can also choose courage or fear.  We definitely need to find our courage.

One good thing Trump has done by undermining and exploiting American democracy is to highlight longtime problems in the system that badly need fixing.  For example, over generations, we’ve allowed too much power to accumulate in the presidency.  We’ve allowed Congress to become less and less representative, and more and more dysfunctional.  Our Supreme Court has become highly politicized.  Our government has become oligarchical, with little consideration or support for ordinary working people.

Now is a good time to start working on an alternative vision for our democracy – perhaps a Project 2029.  It would be sort of like Project 2025, but in the public interest, rather than the kooky kleptocrats’ interest.  It’s a big job, but we can start simply, by deciding what direction we want to go.  I suggest that we agree to make the objective of our government this: helping others.  

That is, instead of designing a government primarily to help the rich exploit everyone else, we should design it to serve the common good, and to help those who need help.  Our system should be oriented toward giving, rather than extracting.  Does this sound impossible?  It’s not a new idea.  Jesus, Muhammad, and Buddha would all support it. JFK seemed to be for it, when he said, we should ask what we can do for our country.

Visiting Yosemite, and some thoughts on lies in America

Last week I visited Yosemite National Park, which had resplendent fall colors beneath its towering granite peaks. There I was part of a photography group led by Gary Hart.  Gary was the nicest guy, and he did a great job directing us to some beautiful places and helping us improve our work.  Then I went by myself to Sequoia National Park and Kings Canyon to see the giant sequoia trees and mountain vistas.  The pictures here are a few of the ones I liked.  

My flight from Los Angeles to Raleigh was a red eye that arrived the morning of election day.  I was tired and jet lagged, and underprepared for the election of Trump.  I’d done some phone-bank work for Harris, and managed to convince myself that most likely she would win.  But, of course, she didn’t.  It was a painful disappointment.

The pain is still raw, but I’m trying to be mindful and curious as to how a majority of American voters could have decided that Trump was the better choice.  The pundits I’ve been reading and hearing have various theories, and no doubt there are many factors at play.  But so far I haven’t heard much about what looks to me like the most important one.

There seems to be general agreement that a big part of the Trump success was serious dissatisfaction with the current establishment.  The price of groceries, gas, and housing made people unhappy.  It wasn’t surprising that people wanted those problems addressed.

But why would anyone think that Trump would be the guy to do it?  His prior handling of the economy and other real world problems was erratic and inept.  His policy statements in this campaign were either extremely vague or kooky.  His mental capacity, never great, showed signs of major deterioration.  He was not only untrustworthy; he was constantly and shamelessly dishonest.  

Amazingly, though, Trump’s shameless dishonesty accounted for much of his success. His lack of any sense of shame made him immune to criticism, and willing to lie on a massive scale that overwhelmed all efforts at rational thought.  

Of course, some people felt insecure and frustrated about their economic circumstances.  But Trump managed to turn those understandable feelings into fear and rage.  He relentlessly presented the message that America was a hellscape of economic failure and crime.  Just as relentlessly, he blamed those supposed problems on invading immigrants, whom he characterized as criminals and rapists.  

This was all a preposterous lie.  Crime rates are down from the Trump years, and the economy has by most measures improved.  Immigrants are not invading en masse, and those who are here are more law-abiding than the native born.  Indeed, immigrants are a big part of our economic success story, and that has been true throughout our history.  

So how did the lie work?  Most of us are suspicious of those who look and sound different from us.  Our natural suspicion as to differences in skin color, language, and customs is usually manageable.  After all, we live in a multi-racial, multi-cultural society which in many regards works well.  But Trump stoked normal anxieties into a raging fire of  xenophobia and racism, and proposed a wonderfully simple solution to all those unpleasant feelings – get rid of the scapegoats.

This was certainly not a new idea.  Through the last five hundred years, Jews have been treated as scapegoats by various demagogues.  And of course, various other out groups have been treated as sacrificial victims to solve political problems.  

Indeed, Trump made clear enough that immigrants were not his only scapegoats.  There were scapegoats to fit with a potpourri of resentments and prejudices:  people of color, Jews, Muslims, women, gays, journalists, scientists, lawyers, teachers, liberals, government bureaucrats, and anyone who opposed him were attacked directly or indirectly as enemies of the state.  

Possibly the saddest and most ridiculous scapegoating was on our tiny minority of trans people.  Could anyone actually believe that trans folks were a serious threat?  The Trump people clearly thought so, since they spent many millions of dollars on anti-trans political advertising.  Watching those ads playing over and over, I assumed that most people would see through them as cruel and absurd.  I’m afraid, though, that a lot of people didn’t.  

We live in an age of misinformation that we haven’t yet understood how to correct for.  A great many of our traditional newspapers are no longer in business.  Right-wing media, such as Fox News, the Sinclair Broadcast Group, certain podcasts, and talk radio in the vein of Rush Limbaugh have become the primary news sources for many.  By and large, they amplify Trumpist lies and stay silent as to the truth.

At the same time, social media such as Twitter/X, TikTok, and Facebook are virulent sources of conspiracy theories and confusion.  Traditional, fact-based journalism has a hard time competing.  It’s hard for unwelcome truths to compete with exciting lies.  

Trump’s people appear to have grasped the value of these new opportunities for spreading big lies.  They also learned from twentieth century fascist movements that even obvious and transparent lies may come to be seen as true if repeated often enough.  

To begin to address Trumpism, we can start by calling out the big lies, rather than pretending that all this is normal and acceptable.  It was disheartening that the Harris campaign failed to do this with Trump’s dystopian immigration narrative, and instead adopted a dialed down version of that narrative.  Perhaps they concluded that correcting that scapegoat narrative couldn’t be done in the short time before the election.  In any case, there’s no doubt that it would have been difficult.  Big lies are powerful.   

Now we’ve got a large population infected with the culture of Trumpian lies.  They view actual journalism as fake news, and Trump opponents as Satanist pedophiles.  Arguing with them probably won’t help.  We can and should give them respect, compassion, and kindness.  We should gently and gradually reassure them that we are not Satanists or pedophiles.  Will that, plus measured doses of actual truth, be enough?  

We won’t know for a while.  Given that Trump lies about everything, it’s possible he won’t follow through on his deportation program, locking up his enemies, and the other Project 2025 ideas that would likely crash the economy and cause enormous misery.  If he does, it’s nearly certain that MAGA folks will experience bitter disillusion and massive voters’ remorse.  Perhaps a new and better politics will emerge from the ashes.   

Heat, horses, and Poverty

High temperatures and high humidity in Raleigh have made outdoor activities pretty miserable.  Stuck inside more,  I finally managed to sort through the pictures I took in May of the wild horses at Corolla, NC.  I saw thirty-some in one day in a pasture and on the beach.  

The horses had some disagreements between their family groups, which resulted in a few chases and kicks.  They could run very fast, but mostly they just grazed peacefully or enjoyed the ocean breeze.  They seemed to have a good attitude towards life.  

Again, about that heat:  we’re regularly setting new records for highs in these parts, as is the planet as a whole.  And of course, with the heat come other problems, like  floods, draughts, tornados, hurricanes, and wildfires, not to mention famines, water shortages, pandemics, failed economies, mass migration, and war.  It’s gotten harder and harder to deny we have a climate crisis that we created and we must address, although some still do.

Denialism is a core plank of the Trump movement.  One of the projects in Project 2025, the detailed list of policies proposed by Trump administration veterans and aspirants, includes the break up of the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration.  NOAA is the parent of the national Weather Service, which provides the raw data for most of the weather reporting that industry, the military, and you and me rely on.  According to Project 2025, NOAA is “one of the main drivers of the climate change alarm industry.”  Who knew?

Along with muzzling or dismembering NOAA, Project 2025 proposes downsizing agencies focusing on climate research, including the EPA, weakening environmental regulations, curtailing renewable energy support, and expanding fossil fuel development.  Trump told a group of oil execs that for $1 billion in contributions, he’d allow new oil drilling projects and reverse regulations that limited their profits.  

It’s shameful, but not surprising, that fossil fuel interests find it normal to put profits above all else, but it’s hard to understand why others not mad with greed would be willing to go along with a program to further degrade the environment.  The Trump-MAGA opposition to climate mitigation could be partly about wishful thinking, as in, we wish we didn’t have this terrible problem which will be hard to address, so let’s pretend we don’t.  And of course, Trumpists are inclined to oppose anything that non-Trumpists support, up to and including trying to save the planet.  

Anyhow, as most people surely know by now, our planet is in dire straits, and without strong measures the climate emergency will become an ever-widening disaster.  The Biden presidency took some meaningful steps toward addressing this emergency, including the Inflation Reduction Act, but much more is needed.  It’s a safe bet that a Harris administration will continue this work. If you are considering voting for Trump, I hope you will reconsider and instead support facing and fixing our climate crisis.  

If you can stand one more serious subject: I finished reading Poverty, by America, by Matthew Desmond, and recommend it.  I knew, as we all know, that we have poverty in the US, but in this short book Desmond brought it into better focus, in a way that was at once challenging and surprisingly hopeful.  

Poverty, by America helps us understand that poverty doesn’t just mean not having inadequate housing or other necessities.  It also means insecurity and anxiety, health problems, depression, addiction, and other personal difficulties. 

Desmond challenges the narrative that poverty is inevitable and the poor are mainly responsible for it. At the same time, he isn’t buying the idea that the wealthy are mainly responsible for their own good fortune, rather than the beneficiaries of lucky birth circumstances and government preferences.  The extreme inequality between rich and poor in America is deplorable, and indefensible.

It isn’t pleasant to realize that most of us who are not poor have acquiesced in this system, and are to some degree complicit in it.  We like having low prices, and adopt the narrative that that requires low-paid labor.  Most of us aren’t really opposed to government assistance.  Indeed, the non-poor are by far the greatest beneficiaries of government welfare, through such subsidies to the well-to-do as the mortgage interest deduction, favorable tax rates for capital gains, and student loans.  

This is a longstanding and chronic situation, but Desmond refuses to give up hope.  He points out both small and large reforms that would ameliorate poverty.  One main one is to quit tolerating tax cheating by the wealthy and raise their taxes to something closer to the historical and international norm.  The additional revenue could fund better schools, better housing, and better opportunities.  

Democracy on the ropes

Summer is definitely here in Raleigh:  uncomfortably hot and humid.  I’m spending more time indoors, and finally finished sorting through the photographs I took while traveling in the spring.  In this post, I wanted to share a few more of the photos I took in St. Augustine of roseate spoonbills, great egrets, snowy egrets, wood storks, and tricolored herons, and a few thoughts on recent political events. 

In less than a week, we’ve just had two extreme events in our national political life.  President Biden crashed and burned in his debate with Donald Trump, substantially increasing the chances that Trump will win the presidency in November.  And the Supreme Court almost completely immunized Trump from criminal liability for his effort to overthrow the government in 2021.  It decreed that the next president is free to commit crimes, heinous or otherwise, that are in any way related to his official duties.  

This Supreme Court decision (which I, as a former Supreme Court clerk, had the training to read, and did read) is truly shocking.  By holding that the president acting as president is not subject to criminal law, it fundamentally changes the nature of the presidency to something like a monarchy.  In view of the definite possibility that a convicted felon, an incorrigible career grifter without any apparent moral restraint, will be our next president, the decision seems wildly irresponsible.  

There was more than a whiff of corruption in the Trump White House, as Trump’s businesses raked in billions of dollars.  He has promised to use the Department of Justice to persecute political opponents.  He has proposed shooting peaceful protesters and shoplifters.  He sought IRS audits of his enemies.  He directed the persecution of tax-paying immigrants and the kidnapping of immigrant children.  Not least, he encouraged a violent attack on Congress in an attempt to nullify the 2020 election.  

Trump has shown no hint of moderating his inclinations.  In his first term, subordinates sometimes discouraged or resisted his most outrageous proposals, but that is much less likely to happen if he’s reelected.  Non-MAGA true believers will be excluded from significant roles.  The true believers will know that Trump can and does protect those who carry out his orders with pardons.  

Also, those collaborators will now understand that if they are accused of criminal activity ordered by Trump, the Supreme Court will probably be on their side.  The Court’s new theory of the need for extreme Executive power may mean protection for those who implement Executive crimes.  In sum, the new decision increases the already high risk that electing Trump as President will be a disaster for American democracy.  

One of the benefits of studying history is perspective; it can help us take a longer view of our current situation.  For example, it’s helpful to remember that our republic has survived crises in the past, like the Civil War, the corruption of the gilded age, the ascendance of the Ku Klux Klan, American Nazis during World War II, and the McCarthy red scare.  We also survived Trump I. At the moment, I feel more despairing than hopeful for American democracy, but I’m trying not to give up hope.  

Visiting big birds in Florida, healthy eating, and some thoughts on Nazism

I went down to St. Augustine, Florida, a couple of weeks ago to photograph some of the big wading birds there.  I took a lot of photos at the Alligator Farm, where there’s a rookery of nesting great egrets, snowy egrets, cattle egrets, little blue herons, tricolored herons, wood storks, white ibises, and (my favorite) roseate spoonbills.  The birds hatch their chicks in trees over a big pond area full of alligators.  Apparently the birds feel safe and protected from tree-climbing predators there.

It really was quite wonderful to see all these creatures flying, fighting, mating, working on their nests, and feeding the chicks.  I haven’t had time to go through all the thousands of pictures I took, but I did make one pass through the ones from April 26, when we had some beautiful light.  These ones were all taken that day.  

At times I feel a bit of an odd duck for caring about birds, but I was reassured by a great little essay in the NY Times on how birding can change your life.  The essay is by Ed Yong, who wrote An Immense World, a fine book about the sensory worlds of non-human animals.  

Yong describes describes some of the nuts and bolts of learning how to identify birds.  But the really interesting discussion was how he found himself changed by birding.  He discovered a new connection to nature and new appreciation for the small wonders of life.  He found himself living more in the present, and with a greater appreciation for his own life, just as it is.  

I’m not as serious a birder as Yong – I don’t keep a life list or take on arduous travel to see one new species.  But I’m still studying up on resident species when I go to a new place, and working to identify birds I’m not familiar with.  I heartily endorse Yong’s view that birds make life better.

Speaking of animals, we saw a recent documentary series on Netflix that I recommend:  You Are What You Eat.  It centers on a nutrition study at Stanford University of identical twins.  The idea was to discover how much different diets affected genetically identical people.  

The big takeaway was that a plant-based diet was generally much more healthy than other options.  The series also notes, without hammering on, how animal agriculture is terrible for the climate and for both farmed and wild animals.  Despite the serious content, the filmmakers managed to leaven their presentation with some humor.   

Finally, I want to recommend a good podcast series called The Rest Is History. The format is a conversation between two Brits, Tom Holland and Dominic Sandbrook, about a historical period or incident that they’ve gotten interested in.  They are funny and smart, and some of the subjects are fascinating.  

I found their series on the rise of German Nazism particularly interesting.  Holland and Sandbrook investigated how an ideology that they (and most of us) regard as bizarre and inhuman could have seemed exciting and completely valid to many Germans of that time. 

Discussing Nazism is a delicate business, since it understandably arouses strong emotions.  It’s uncomfortable, and we tend to think it’s not worth the bother, assuming that we know everything worth knowing about it anyway.  Of course, that’s unlikely, since like all mass movements, it was complicated.  But it’s possible to be clear that the systematic mass murder of Jews and other groups by the Nazis was horrific, while also wondering about what German leaders and ordinary Germans were thinking as crimes against humanity took shape.  

As Holland and Sandbrook note, the Nazis believed they were acting based on science, and were addressing an existential threat to their nation.  Some of such thinking is still with us.  Eugenics, the “science” of superior and inferior races, was integral to their thinking, and it was then considered actual (rather than crackpot) science in many other places, including the US.   

The Germans of the 1920s and 30s feared for their future, based on widespread poverty and the postwar economic crisis.  They sought to explain their problems by identifying scapegoats, including especially the Jews.  Their anger and fear of supposedly inferior races and cultures is not so different from the hostility towards immigrants that is now a central feature of politics in the US and Europe.  

The Nazi leadership effectively used the modern media of the time, including radio and film, to amplify their message. Holland and Sandbrook point up a program to get a radio within earshot of every German so that they could not avoid hearing Hitler’s speeches.  The incessant repetition of lies about Jews and others made it hard to keep contrary views in mind.  Our social media is different, but likewise tends to create information bubbles that can separate us from reality.  

Holland and Sandbrook suggest that the impulses of Germans who supported Nazism, like the desire for excitement and hostility to out groups, is pretty normal.  Humans are social animals, and our behavior is powerfully influenced by those around us.  Once Nazism attained a degree of popular support, doubters were more inclined to go along with the crowd, as people normally do.  And once the movement was strong enough, dissenters were either squashed or silenced themselves.

From time to time, I’ve wondered what I would have done if I’d been a German in the 1930s as the Nazis rose to power and took over the country. We know from studying Germany’s experience that most people were swept along without dissenting, and it’s possible that I would have been one of that herd.  Of course, I like to think I’d have been unusually independent and courageous, but it’s hard to be sure.  

Anyhow, the Rest Is History podcast series on Nazism is thought provoking and timely.  We know from Germany’s experience that facism can happen to countries populated by people who are generally sane and decent.  I dearly hope the US is not headed in such a direction, but it’s clearly not impossible.  It’s worth taking the time to look closer at Germany’s history, and do everything we can to go in a better direction.

Spring, wild horses, and some thoughts on immigration

Spring is finally here, I’m happy to say.  We visited our loved ones at beautiful Beaufort, N.C., a couple of weeks ago and saw some of the wild horses there.  In Raleigh, the trees are starting to leaf in, and the early flowers have popped up, seemingly out of nowhere, with vivid colors.  I enjoy them every year, but this year is especially good.  The flowers below were from Raulston Arboretum, Fletcher Park, and the backyard of casa Tiller.  

This week we watched The Zone of Interest, which won the Oscar for Best Foreign Film and is now streamable on Prime.  I highly recommend it.  The story concerns a family living a normal happy life right next to the Auschwitz death camp.  It raises some tough and timely questions about human behavior and ethics.  I expect we’ll be thinking about it for a long time.    

Our immigration situation also raises some tough and timely questions.  These days it’s often referred to as the immigration crisis, which is certainly true from the perspective of people desperately fleeing violence and poverty.  But there’s a massive misunderstanding of the situation, as shown in a recent Gallup poll. Immigration was most frequently cited as America’s biggest problem, and the number of Americans who think that has gone up.  

This is both understandable and absurd.  Fear of foreigners is nothing new, and has long been exploited by leaders for political advantage .   But we truly are a nation of immigrants.  They are running some of our most successful corporations, as well as building our houses, manning our hospitals and factories, picking our crops, and taking care of our children.  If there’s energy and creativity required, we rely a lot on immigrants, just as we rely on them to do a lot of unpleasant work that we want to be sure is done well.  

It should be obvious, but apparently needs saying, that we’ve always been a multi-racial, multi-ethnic, multi-religious country.  The majority of us have ancestors that came from some other country not so long ago.  And we have friends, neighbors, and service providers who have different skin colors, different languages, and different customs.  We’ve got lots of problems, but our diversity is not a problem.  It’s a strength.   

With all the actual problems we’re facing, it’s really disturbing that the non-problem of immigration has become a central flash point of  our politics.  Whipping up more fear of immigrants was and is one of Trump’s main tactics; it’s hard to imagine his succeeding without it.  But even mainstream Democrats now believe we have a border crisis that is not of our own making, and that we somehow have to prevent more foreigners from getting in.

Franklin Roosevelt had a famous line in his inaugural address in 1933:  “The only thing we have to fear is fear itself.”  He probably meant to reassure a nation in the throes of a financial depression with the thought that fears weren’t themselves likely to be fatal, and economic problems were solvable.  

But Roosevelt’s words have a different resonance now.  We truly have good reason to be afraid of the current panic about immigrants, because it is perilous, both for ourselves and others.  I’m thinking of three serious risks.

First, it could lead to the end of democracy as we know it.  Hard as it is to believe, there is a real possibility that Donald Trump could become the next president.   Trump has proudly declared his intention to become a dictator, to persecute his political enemies, to shoot peaceful protesters, to take away rights from women and minorities, and to fundamentally alter the constitutional order.  He undermines the rule of law with his claims to be immune from prosecution for any crime and pardons for his convicted criminal pals.  Again, his appeal is based in large part on his demagoguery about immigrants, whom he viciously and groundlessly characterizes as criminals, rapists, and animals.  

Second, our draconian limitation on immigration is a self-inflicted wound, in that we need immigrant workers.  The idea that  immigrants cause harm by taking Americans’ jobs is mistaken.  They pay more in taxers than they use in services. Many of them start businesses and create new jobs.  As noted, they do a lot of the most important high-level work we have, as well as some of the most difficult and dangerous jobs.  For example, without them, our food supply chain doesn’t work, or our cutting edge AI tools.  We have a labor shortage, and with an aging population, that problem is getting worse.  We need more immigrants.

Third, there’s morality:  treating immigrants with disrespect and cruelty diminishes us.  Refusing to respond to the needs of desperate people fleeing war, violence, and grinding poverty is a stain on our own humanity.  It takes work to get rid of our natural compassion for people in need, but some of our political and thought leaders have pulled us along that path.  They whip up our ordinary caution about people we don’t yet know into anger, hatred, and panic.  

In considering what we owe immigrants, it’s worth noting that we in the U.S. bear substantial responsibility for some of the problems that are driving people from their countries of birth.  We’ve done more than our share to create the worldwide climate crisis, with the rising heat, drought, fires, and storms that make some areas inhospitable or uninhabitable.  

Driven by greed and fear of Communism, we’ve also played a role in creating the chronic violence that drives emigration out of some countries, including El Salvador, Nicaragua, Guatemala, Honduras, Venezuela, Haiti, and Cuba, not to mention the Middle East and Southeast Asia.  We have a lot to atone for.  

The solution is not simple.  The system we’ve constructed for our border is deeply flawed, and fixing it will not be easy.  We don’t have the necessary plans or resources in place to implement the current problematic laws.  More fundamentally, we need to rethink certain assumptions, including notions of what a great nation is and what borders are for, and that will take time.  

But it’s obvious that we need to stop panicking about immigrants.  We need to start seeing them as people and learning about their situations.  We need to have conversations about what the options are for helping them.   We need to rediscover our natural compassion, generosity, and love.  People in dire need offer us an opportunity to be more compassionate and generous.  Let us be thankful for that opportunity, and take it.  

Reconsidering racism

A water lilly at Frank Schwartz’s Water and Garden Creations

On Saturday I visited a water lily garden in southern Wake County.  The outing was organized by the Carolina Nature Photographers’ Association, and there were some nice people there who had good cameras.  Along with the lilies and other flowers, there was a little green frog.  

As regular readers of The Casual Blog know, from time to time I express myself on political subjects, but recently I’ve had some trouble doing so. There are so many issues worthy of closer examination and critical thought.  But that’s also the problem — it’s hard to know where to start.  Issues are proliferating. Before you’ve got one terrible problem in focus, there are two more even worse.  

You can wear yourself out with fear and outrage, while accomplishing nothing.   While it’s very easy to get depressed about the state of the union and various real world problems, that doesn’t help anything.  I’ve been trying to develop a perspective that’s connected to what we know of reality, but that isn’t hopeless.  Admittedly, it’s a challenge.

Lately my non-work long-form reading has been mostly history, which I find both calming and stimulating.  It helps to take a longer view.  Stories of tyrants, like the Roman emperors who were insane and murderously sadistic, are interesting in themselves, but also put our problems in a bit of perspective — that is, there have been worse heads of state.  

I used to think of history as facts collected in history textbooks that could be known with certainty.  It turns out, though, that history is far from fixed.  It changes.  Historians can be completely blind to aspects of their subjects which later historians bring to light.  It’s a safe bet that our vision also is clouded and incomplete.  But it’s capable of improvement.  

Alan Taylor’s latest book, American Revolutions, reframes the revolutionary war from one of united American colonists against England into a multifaceted and lengthy civil war with international aspects.  It was in significant part a war between groups of colonists, many of whom favored England and were uprooted, tortured, and killed for their loyalism.  It was in part a war to maintain slavery and to seize native American lands.  The level of blood and gore was high, and the level of idealism and integrity not as high as we thought.  

I’ve also been reading Carrie Gibson’s Empire’s Crossroads:  A History of the Caribbean from Columbus to the Present Day.  I came to the book with a vague idea that the islands of the Caribbean were useful as stopover points for explorers transiting the Atlantic in the age of sail.  It turns out that beginning in the sixteenth century and for hundreds of years, they were wildly successful in generating wealth for Europe.  The English considered their islands more valuable than the American colonies, and gave up those colonies in part because they thought it better to use their navy to defend the islands.  

Empire’s Crossroads tells the story of the development of hugely successful sugar plantations, which is also the story of the development of the African slave trade.  The extreme brutality of Caribbean slavery was not well understood in Europe at the time, and probably not well understood by many people today.  Gibson observes that slavery wasn’t caused by racism, but rather racism was created to justify slavery.      

It would be nice to think we’re over racism.  But we noticed quite a few Confederate flags when we were on the Outer Banks last week.  There are numerous reports from around the U.S. of displays of hangman’s nooses and swastikas.  New laws are limiting voting rights of minorities and freedom of movement of immigrants.  And of course, not all the violence is symbolic.  There seems to be a stream of racist attacks and murders, which are somehow recognized as “terrorism.”  

One good thing about the Trump presidency is that it has brought a virulent racist element of  America  into the light.  I’d thought it was almost gone, but now there’s no mistaking, it’s still there.  Encouraged by the regime, the racist minority has felt emboldened.  I suspect that explains in part Trump’s rise.  His rallies, with coded messages giving permission and encouragement to prejudices that had been held in check as shameful, sparked an enthusiasm that lots of us didn’t take seriously enough.  Now we know this racist minority are highly motivated, and they won’t give up their hateful ideology without a fight.  

But history can be inspiring.   Our ancestors, black, white, and other, finally, after hundreds of years, did away with legalized slavery.  They eventually ended the legalized racism of Jim Crow, and the housing regulations that prevented black people from buying houses in white neighborhoods. There are still living some who risked their lives in the struggle for voting rights for blacks and school desegregation.  We stand on the shoulders of moral giants, who pointed the way forward.  But there’s still some hard work to be done.